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Dortmund

W W W W L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Freiburg

D L W L W
OpWin AI Probabilities
Dortmund 51% Draw 24% Freiburg 25%
✨ OpWin Pro Predictions
Winner
Dortmund
Confidence: 51%
Double Chance
1X
Confidence: 75%
Goals
Over 2.5
Confidence: 60%
BTTS
Yes
Confidence: 62%
Correct Score
2-1
Confidence: 10%

Dortmund Season

Rank#2
Points64
Matches Left5

Freiburg Season

Rank#8
Points40
Matches Left5

Dortmund Last 5

1. FC Köln 1 - 2
FC Augsburg 2 - 0
Hamburger SV 3 - 2
VfB Stuttgart 0 - 2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 - 1

Freiburg Last 5

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3 - 3
1. FC Union Berlin 0 - 1
FC St. Pauli 1910 1 - 2
FC Bayern München 2 - 3
1. FSV Mainz 05 0 - 1

Head-to-Head

No recent meetings found.

Form Analysis

Dortmund
19W - 7D - 3L
Freiburg
11W - 7D - 11L

Dortmund Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
2.00
Attacks160
Dangerous64
Avg Shots18.4
🛡️ Defense 1.00

Freiburg Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.40
Attacks113
Dangerous45
Avg Shots12.9
🛡️ Defense 1.60

Match Statistics

56% Possession 44%
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4

* Projected stats.

Expected Goals (xG)

Dortmund
1.88
Freiburg
1.26

Live Commentary & Analysis

📝 Pre-match analysis 08:06 PM

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash between Dortmund and Freiburg, the odds lean toward a tight contest, with the math model predicting Dortmund to emerge victorious with a confidence level of 51%. This cautious optimism reflects the teams' recent performances and past head-to-head results, where Dortmund has often been able to capitalize on home advantage. The model likely accounted for variances in team form, player fitness, and tactical matchups, utilizing a Poisson distribution to project potential outcomes. For bettors, this match presents several lucrative opportunities, making it a value bet for those looking at 1x2 predictions and combo bets. The recommendation of the safety pick 1X indicates a solid cushion against potential draw outcomes. With an emphasis on attacking play next to stout defensive formations, betting tips suggest expecting over 2.5 goals, and both teams to score - a scenario that has frequently unfolded in Bundesliga matches involving Dortmund. This Dortmund vs Freiburg prediction considers not just statistical analysis but also intangible factors like team motivation and fan support, making it a compelling matchup to watch.

📅 26 Apr 2026
📍 their home ground

Standings & Context

Currently, Dortmund sits at position #2 (64 pts). They face Freiburg who occupy the #8 spot (40 pts).

Performance Analysis

Looking at numbers, Dortmund has averaged 2.00 goals at home. Freiburg travels with an away scoring record of 1.40 goals.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.