OpWin.

Home

Freiburg

L D L W L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Heidenheim

L L L D D
OpWin AI Probabilities
Freiburg 48% Draw 24% Heidenheim 29%
✨ OpWin Pro Predictions
Winner
Freiburg
Confidence: 48%
Double Chance
1X
Confidence: 72%
Goals
Over 2.5
Confidence: 63%
BTTS
Yes
Confidence: 66%
Correct Score
2-1
Confidence: 9%

Freiburg Season

Rank#8
Points40
Matches Left5

Heidenheim Season

Rank#18
Points19
Matches Left5

Freiburg Last 5

Eintracht Frankfurt 2 - 0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3 - 3
1. FC Union Berlin 0 - 1
FC St. Pauli 1910 1 - 2
FC Bayern München 2 - 3

Heidenheim Last 5

SV Werder Bremen 2 - 0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 4
Eintracht Frankfurt 1 - 0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3 - 3
Borussia Mönchengladbach 2 - 2

Head-to-Head

Freiburg: 2 Draws: 1 Heidenheim: 1
2025 Heidenheim 2 - 1 Freiburg
2025 Freiburg 1 - 0 Heidenheim
2024 Heidenheim 0 - 3 Freiburg
2024 Freiburg 1 - 1 Heidenheim

Form Analysis

Freiburg
11W - 7D - 11L
Heidenheim
4W - 7D - 18L

Freiburg Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.40
Attacks113
Dangerous45
Avg Shots12.9
🛡️ Defense 1.60

Heidenheim Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.07
Attacks85
Dangerous34
Avg Shots9.8
🛡️ Defense 2.13

Match Statistics

53% Possession 47%
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3

* Projected stats.

Expected Goals (xG)

Freiburg
1.87
Heidenheim
1.41

Live Commentary & Analysis

📝 Pre-match analysis 08:05 PM

In this intriguing Bundesliga clash, Freiburg hosts Heidenheim at their home ground, with the Math Model placing a 49% confidence in a Freiburg victory. This prediction suggests a narrow edge, reflecting the competitive nature of this matchup. Freiburg has shown relative stability in their performances, hinting at the potential for a strong home advantage, which typically translates into better results in a league setting. The model's safety pick of 1X indicates that even if Heidenheim puts up a fierce fight, Freiburg is likely to avoid defeat, enhancing value bets for those leaning towards a safer wager. The recommended bets of Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score (BTTS) are aligned with the Poisson distribution analysis, which considers historical scoring patterns and offensive capabilities. As such, bettors looking for solid 1x2 predictions or combo bets will find Freiburg vs Heidenheim prediction highly compelling, especially given Freiburg's knack for attacking play, coupled with occasional lapses in defense. The odds suggest a favorable climate for goal-filled encounters, making this fixture ripe for betting tips focused on a high-scoring affair. With variance playing a crucial role, keeping an eye on team news and lineup changes is essential for optimizing betting strategies in this matchup.

📅 19 Apr 2026
📍 their home ground

Standings & Context

Currently, Freiburg sits at position #8 (40 pts). They face Heidenheim who occupy the #18 spot (19 pts).

Performance Analysis

Looking at numbers, Freiburg has averaged 1.40 goals at home. Heidenheim travels with an away scoring record of 1.07 goals.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.