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Mainz

D D W W W
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

Freiburg

L D L W L
OpWin AI Probabilities
Mainz 36% Draw 27% Freiburg 37%
FT (Finished): 0 - 1
Accuracy: 50%
Winner
Freiburg
Confidence: 37%
Double Chance
X2
Confidence: 64%
Safe Goals
Over 1.5
Confidence: 79%
BTTS
Yes
Confidence: 58%
Correct Score
1-2
Confidence: 8%

Mainz Season

Rank#9
Points33
Matches Left34

Freiburg Season

Rank#8
Points40
Matches Left34

Mainz Last 5

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1 - 1
VfB Stuttgart 2 - 2
SV Werder Bremen 0 - 2
Eintracht Frankfurt 2 - 1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1 - 2

Freiburg Last 5

Eintracht Frankfurt 2 - 0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3 - 3
1. FC Union Berlin 0 - 1
FC St. Pauli 1910 1 - 2
FC Bayern München 2 - 3

Head-to-Head

Mainz: 0 Draws: 3 Freiburg: 2
2026 Mainz 0 - 1 Freiburg
2025 Freiburg 4 - 0 Mainz
2025 Mainz 2 - 2 Freiburg
2024 Freiburg 0 - 0 Mainz
2024 Freiburg 1 - 1 Mainz

Form Analysis

Mainz
8W - 9D - 12L
Freiburg
11W - 7D - 11L

Mainz Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.20
Attacks98
Dangerous39
Avg Shots11.0
🛡️ Defense 1.47

Freiburg Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.40
Attacks113
Dangerous45
Avg Shots12.9
🛡️ Defense 1.60

Match Statistics

48% Possession 52%
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4

* Projected stats.

Expected Goals (xG)

Mainz
1.41
Freiburg
1.44

Live Commentary & Analysis

🏁 FT 03:29 PM

In a thrilling encounter, Freiburg edged past Mainz with a narrow 1-0 victory. A disciplined defense and a moment of brilliance secured the three points, leaving Mainz searching for answers in a tough season ahead.

⏸️ HT 02:18 PM

At halftime, Mainz and Freiburg are locked in a tactical battle, with both sides creating chances but failing to find the back of the net. Expect an intense second half as they fight for valuable points.

KICKOFF 01:30 PM

The atmosphere is electric as Mainz faces Freiburg! Both teams are hungry for points, setting the stage for an intense battle. Expect high-paced action and thrilling plays as they vie for supremacy. Stay tuned for more excitement!

📝 Pre-match analysis 08:13 PM

As Mainz prepares to face Freiburg at their home ground, this Bundesliga clash promises an intriguing contest. The math model, which indicates a 38% confidence in Freiburg emerging victorious, seems to suggest that variance in team form and performance metrics may have influenced the odds. Freiburg's recent run of form in the league, along with their consistency in away matches, positions them as potential winners in this Mainz vs Freiburg prediction. Their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, combined with a well-organized defense, makes them a strong candidate for a value bet in this match. Moreover, the recommended bets of X2 (double chance), over 1.5 goals, and both teams to score (BTTS) reflect the anticipated competitive nature of the encounter, as both teams should find the net given their attacking threats. Poisson distribution statistics suggest that the match could tilt in favor of Freiburg, given their historical performance against similar opponents and current form. The overall betting tips, including the odds provided, compounded with the analysis from previous matches, add layers to the combo bets that could be attractive to bettors looking for smart returns in this Bundesliga showdown.

📅 Finished
📍 their home ground

Standings & Context

Currently, Mainz sits at position #9 (33 pts). They face Freiburg who occupy the #8 spot (40 pts).

Performance Analysis

Looking at numbers, Mainz has averaged 1.20 goals at home. Freiburg travels with an away scoring record of 1.40 goals.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.